Summarized version for now, I’ll try to enhance it more in the future:
Increasing or high interest rate phase:
- Costs for corporate investments go up or are higher
- reducing their IRR,
- increasing payback periods,
- or just making them unprofitable
- a lot of corporate investments get shelved during a period of high interest rates
- Costs to buy house go up
- Higher interest rates = Higher monthly payments
- Higher revenue required to buy a house of same price
- Lower home affordability
- Less houses built, or lower priced houses built due to market conditions
- Lower demand drives down house prices
- Borrowing costs to invest in stock market go up
- Lower demand decreases stock prices
- Fixed income markets become more interesting than stock markets
- Less risk, guaranteed returns
- Stock prices go down
- Options pricing affected, longer term options more expensive (black scholes formula)
Decreasing or low interest rate phase:
- Low costs for corporate investments
- Higher IRR
- Lower payback periods
- House payments are lower
- Same revenue buys a better house
- Higher demand drives house prices up
- Cheaper to borrow money to invest in stock market
- Higher demand increases stock prices
- Fixed income markets become unattractive
- Quest for returns turn to the stock market driving prices up
- Options pricing lowers